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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

16:30

Venue

Chorten Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jagiellonia Win

53%

Jagiellonia

1.89

24%

Draw

4.15

23%

Gornik Zabrze

4.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.70

Jagiellonia xG

Total xG

2.75

1.04

Gornik Zabrze xG

53%
24%
23%
JagielloniaDrawGornik Zabrze

1.89

53%

Home win

4.15

24%

Draw

4.34

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

35%

Jagiellonia

2.83

18%

Gornik Zabrze

5.50

Win to Nil

19%

Jagiellonia

5.36

4%

Gornik Zabrze

23.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 6.7 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 10.9 11.4 5.9 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.3 9.7 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.3 5.5 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.3 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.704
λ Away (xG) 1.041
Total xG 2.745
League avg home goals 1.531
League avg away goals 1.244
Jagiellonia attack strength 1.154
Jagiellonia defence strength 0.994
Gornik Zabrze attack strength 0.842
Gornik Zabrze defence strength 0.965
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64