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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 9 May 2026

19:15

Venue

Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gornik Zabrze Win

53%

Gornik Zabrze

1.89

28%

Draw

3.59

19%

Zaglebie Lubin

5.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

2 – 0

10.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Gornik Zabrze xG

Total xG

2.48

0.88

Zaglebie Lubin xG

53%
28%
19%
Gornik ZabrzeDrawZaglebie Lubin

1.89

53%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

5.19

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

41%

Gornik Zabrze

2.42

20%

Zaglebie Lubin

4.95

Win to Nil

22%

Gornik Zabrze

4.57

4%

Zaglebie Lubin

25.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 7.4 3.3 1.0 0.2
1 13.4 11.8 5.2 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.7 9.4 4.2 1.2 0.3
3 5.7 5.0 2.2 0.7 0.1
4 2.3 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.600
λ Away (xG) 0.882
Total xG 2.482
League avg home goals 1.474
League avg away goals 1.092
Gornik Zabrze attack strength 1.110
Gornik Zabrze defence strength 0.817
Zaglebie Lubin attack strength 0.989
Zaglebie Lubin defence strength 0.978
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 65