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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 20 Feb 2027

17:00

Venue

Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Gornik Zabrze Win

47%

Gornik Zabrze

2.13

25%

Draw

3.98

28%

Raków Częstochowa

3.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

8.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.75

Gornik Zabrze xG

Total xG

3.07

1.31

Raków Częstochowa xG

47%
25%
28%
Gornik ZabrzeDrawRaków Częstochowa

2.13

47%

Home win

3.98

25%

Draw

3.58

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.63

39%

BTTS No

2.58

Clean Sheet

27%

Gornik Zabrze

3.72

17%

Raków Częstochowa

5.78

Win to Nil

13%

Gornik Zabrze

7.91

5%

Raków Częstochowa

20.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7 6.1 4.0 1.8 0.6 0.2
1 8.2 10.7 7.0 3.1 1.0 0.3
2 7.2 9.4 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 4.2 5.5 3.6 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.8 2.4 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.754
λ Away (xG) 1.313
Total xG 3.067
League avg home goals 1.527
League avg away goals 1.160
Gornik Zabrze attack strength 1.168
Gornik Zabrze defence strength 0.988
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 1.146
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 0.983
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34