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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Fri 8 Aug 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gornik Zabrze Win

46%

Gornik Zabrze

2.17

26%

Draw

3.80

27%

Nieciecza

3.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Gornik Zabrze xG

Total xG

2.60

1.10

Nieciecza xG

46%
26%
27%
Gornik ZabrzeDrawNieciecza

2.17

46%

Home win

3.80

26%

Draw

3.64

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

33%

Gornik Zabrze

3.01

22%

Nieciecza

4.50

Win to Nil

15%

Gornik Zabrze

6.51

6%

Nieciecza

16.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 8.1 4.5 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 11.1 12.2 6.7 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 8.4 9.2 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 4.2 4.6 2.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.6 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.504
λ Away (xG) 1.101
Total xG 2.605
League avg home goals 1.567
League avg away goals 1.256
Gornik Zabrze attack strength 0.992
Gornik Zabrze defence strength 0.871
Nieciecza attack strength 1.006
Nieciecza defence strength 0.968
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 37 / 3