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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

19:15

Venue

Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gornik Zabrze Win

60%

Gornik Zabrze

1.66

22%

Draw

4.57

18%

Motor Lublin

5.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.96

Gornik Zabrze xG

Total xG

2.93

0.97

Motor Lublin xG

60%
22%
18%
Gornik ZabrzeDrawMotor Lublin

1.66

60%

Home win

4.57

22%

Draw

5.57

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

38%

Gornik Zabrze

2.64

14%

Motor Lublin

7.09

Win to Nil

23%

Gornik Zabrze

4.39

3%

Motor Lublin

39.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 5.2 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 10.5 10.2 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 9.9 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 6.7 6.5 3.2 1.0 0.2
4 3.3 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 1.3 1.2 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.959
λ Away (xG) 0.972
Total xG 2.931
League avg home goals 1.615
League avg away goals 1.253
Gornik Zabrze attack strength 0.938
Gornik Zabrze defence strength 0.789
Motor Lublin attack strength 0.983
Motor Lublin defence strength 1.293
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 39