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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 15 Mar 2025

16:30

Venue

Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gornik Zabrze Win

50%

Gornik Zabrze

2.00

25%

Draw

3.96

25%

Motor Lublin

4.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

Gornik Zabrze xG

Total xG

2.60

1.02

Motor Lublin xG

50%
25%
25%
Gornik ZabrzeDrawMotor Lublin

2.00

50%

Home win

3.96

25%

Draw

4.05

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

36%

Gornik Zabrze

2.78

21%

Motor Lublin

4.82

Win to Nil

18%

Gornik Zabrze

5.56

5%

Motor Lublin

19.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 7.6 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 11.7 12.0 6.1 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.2 9.4 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.8 4.9 2.5 0.9 0.2
4 1.9 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.572
λ Away (xG) 1.024
Total xG 2.596
League avg home goals 1.401
League avg away goals 1.224
Gornik Zabrze attack strength 0.961
Gornik Zabrze defence strength 0.969
Motor Lublin attack strength 0.863
Motor Lublin defence strength 1.168
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 24