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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 18 Apr 2026

16:30

Venue

Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gornik Zabrze Win

57%

Gornik Zabrze

1.76

24%

Draw

4.25

20%

Korona Kielce

5.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.93

Gornik Zabrze xG

Total xG

2.98

1.05

Korona Kielce xG

57%
24%
20%
Gornik ZabrzeDrawKorona Kielce

1.76

57%

Home win

4.25

24%

Draw

5.11

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.77

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

35%

Gornik Zabrze

2.87

15%

Korona Kielce

6.86

Win to Nil

20%

Gornik Zabrze

5.04

3%

Korona Kielce

35.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 5.4 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 9.8 10.3 5.4 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.4 9.9 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 6.0 6.4 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.9 3.1 1.6 0.6 0.1
5 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.925
λ Away (xG) 1.054
Total xG 2.979
League avg home goals 1.440
League avg away goals 1.097
Gornik Zabrze attack strength 1.205
Gornik Zabrze defence strength 0.883
Korona Kielce attack strength 1.087
Korona Kielce defence strength 1.109
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62