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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 24 May 2025

16:30

Venue

Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gornik Zabrze Win

49%

Gornik Zabrze

2.04

28%

Draw

3.63

23%

Korona Kielce

4.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

0 – 0

10.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Gornik Zabrze xG

Total xG

2.28

0.88

Korona Kielce xG

49%
28%
23%
Gornik ZabrzeDrawKorona Kielce

2.04

49%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

4.26

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.27

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

42%

Gornik Zabrze

2.41

25%

Korona Kielce

4.05

Win to Nil

20%

Gornik Zabrze

4.92

6%

Korona Kielce

17.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.3 9.0 4.0 1.2 0.3
1 14.3 12.6 5.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.0 8.8 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 4.7 4.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
4 1.6 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.398
λ Away (xG) 0.879
Total xG 2.277
League avg home goals 1.568
League avg away goals 1.243
Gornik Zabrze attack strength 0.915
Gornik Zabrze defence strength 0.790
Korona Kielce attack strength 0.895
Korona Kielce defence strength 0.974
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67