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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 3 Apr 2027

17:00

Venue

Stadion miejski w Katowicach

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

GKS Katowice Win

48%

GKS Katowice

2.10

25%

Draw

3.98

27%

Raków Częstochowa

3.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.76

GKS Katowice xG

Total xG

3.05

1.29

Raków Częstochowa xG

48%
25%
27%
GKS KatowiceDrawRaków Częstochowa

2.10

48%

Home win

3.98

25%

Draw

3.65

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.55

Clean Sheet

27%

GKS Katowice

3.64

17%

Raków Częstochowa

5.80

Win to Nil

13%

GKS Katowice

7.65

5%

Raków Częstochowa

21.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7 6.1 4.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 8.3 10.8 6.9 3.0 1.0 0.2
2 7.3 9.5 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 4.3 5.5 3.6 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.9 2.4 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.757
λ Away (xG) 1.291
Total xG 3.048
League avg home goals 1.527
League avg away goals 1.160
GKS Katowice attack strength 1.170
GKS Katowice defence strength 0.974
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 1.143
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 0.983
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34