Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 29 Nov 2025

19:15

Venue

Stadion miejski w Katowicach

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

GKS Katowice Win

42%

GKS Katowice

2.40

28%

Draw

3.54

30%

Pogon Szczecin

3.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

GKS Katowice xG

Total xG

2.76

1.25

Pogon Szczecin xG

42%
28%
30%
GKS KatowiceDrawPogon Szczecin

2.40

42%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

3.32

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.34

Clean Sheet

29%

GKS Katowice

3.51

22%

Pogon Szczecin

4.52

Win to Nil

12%

GKS Katowice

8.42

7%

Pogon Szczecin

14.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 7.9 5.0 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 9.5 11.9 7.5 3.1 1.0 0.2
2 7.2 9.0 5.7 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 3.6 4.5 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.4 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.508
λ Away (xG) 1.255
Total xG 2.763
League avg home goals 1.676
League avg away goals 1.242
GKS Katowice attack strength 0.862
GKS Katowice defence strength 1.176
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 0.860
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 1.044
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 50