Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 14 Mar 2026

16:30

Venue

Stadion miejski w Katowicach

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

GKS Katowice Win

42%

GKS Katowice

2.37

25%

Draw

4.01

33%

Lechia Gdansk

3.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

1 – 2

7.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.77

GKS Katowice xG

Total xG

3.31

1.54

Lechia Gdansk xG

42%
25%
33%
GKS KatowiceDrawLechia Gdansk

2.37

42%

Home win

4.01

25%

Draw

3.05

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.51

34%

BTTS No

2.97

Clean Sheet

21%

GKS Katowice

4.69

17%

Lechia Gdansk

5.87

Win to Nil

9%

GKS Katowice

11.09

6%

Lechia Gdansk

17.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 5.6 4.3 2.2 0.9 0.3
1 6.4 9.9 7.7 4.0 1.5 0.5
2 5.7 8.8 6.8 3.5 1.4 0.4
3 3.4 5.2 4.0 2.1 0.8 0.2
4 1.5 2.3 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.770
λ Away (xG) 1.545
Total xG 3.315
League avg home goals 1.402
League avg away goals 1.179
GKS Katowice attack strength 1.063
GKS Katowice defence strength 0.943
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 1.389
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.188
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 58