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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sun 5 Oct 2025

16:30

Venue

Stadion miejski w Katowicach

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lech Poznan Win

32%

GKS Katowice

3.10

23%

Draw

4.26

44%

Lech Poznan

2.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

2 – 1

7.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

GKS Katowice xG

Total xG

3.42

1.85

Lech Poznan xG

32%
23%
44%
GKS KatowiceDrawLech Poznan

3.10

32%

Home win

4.26

23%

Draw

2.26

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.49

33%

BTTS No

3.06

Clean Sheet

16%

GKS Katowice

6.39

21%

Lech Poznan

4.78

Win to Nil

5%

GKS Katowice

19.81

9%

Lech Poznan

10.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.3 6.1 5.6 3.5 1.6 0.6
1 5.1 9.5 8.8 5.4 2.5 0.9
2 4.0 7.4 6.9 4.3 2.0 0.7
3 2.1 3.9 3.6 2.2 1.0 0.4
4 0.8 1.5 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.565
λ Away (xG) 1.855
Total xG 3.420
League avg home goals 1.606
League avg away goals 1.200
GKS Katowice attack strength 1.007
GKS Katowice defence strength 1.241
Lech Poznan attack strength 1.246
Lech Poznan defence strength 0.968
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 43