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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sun 18 May 2025

16:30

Venue

Arena Katowice

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lech Poznan Win

35%

GKS Katowice

2.89

27%

Draw

3.69

38%

Lech Poznan

2.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.4%

Away win

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.22

GKS Katowice xG

Total xG

2.52

1.30

Lech Poznan xG

35%
27%
38%
GKS KatowiceDrawLech Poznan

2.89

35%

Home win

3.69

27%

Draw

2.61

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.94

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

27%

GKS Katowice

3.67

29%

Lech Poznan

3.40

Win to Nil

9%

GKS Katowice

10.60

11%

Lech Poznan

8.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 10.4 6.8 2.9 1.0 0.2
1 9.8 12.8 8.3 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.0 7.8 5.1 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.4 3.2 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.223
λ Away (xG) 1.300
Total xG 2.523
League avg home goals 1.559
League avg away goals 1.247
GKS Katowice attack strength 0.902
GKS Katowice defence strength 0.984
Lech Poznan attack strength 1.059
Lech Poznan defence strength 0.869
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 32 / 66