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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 28 Feb 2026

19:15

Venue

Stadion miejski w Katowicach

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

GKS Katowice Win

50%

GKS Katowice

2.01

28%

Draw

3.59

22%

Gornik Zabrze

4.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

2 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

GKS Katowice xG

Total xG

2.56

0.98

Gornik Zabrze xG

50%
28%
22%
GKS KatowiceDrawGornik Zabrze

2.01

50%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

4.45

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

37%

GKS Katowice

2.68

21%

Gornik Zabrze

4.81

Win to Nil

19%

GKS Katowice

5.39

5%

Gornik Zabrze

21.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 7.7 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 12.2 12.0 5.9 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.6 9.4 4.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 5.0 4.9 2.4 0.8 0.2
4 2.0 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.570
λ Away (xG) 0.985
Total xG 2.555
League avg home goals 1.380
League avg away goals 1.155
GKS Katowice attack strength 0.946
GKS Katowice defence strength 0.942
Gornik Zabrze attack strength 0.905
Gornik Zabrze defence strength 1.203
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 56