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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 15 Mar 2026

11:15

Venue

Stadion Miejski w Gdyni

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Arka Gdynia Win

39%

Arka Gdynia

2.55

29%

Draw

3.49

32%

Widzew Łódź

3.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

0 – 1

8.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Arka Gdynia xG

Total xG

2.66

1.25

Widzew Łódź xG

39%
29%
32%
Arka GdyniaDrawWidzew Łódź

2.55

39%

Home win

3.49

29%

Draw

3.11

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

29%

Arka Gdynia

3.50

25%

Widzew Łódź

4.08

Win to Nil

11%

Arka Gdynia

8.94

8%

Widzew Łódź

12.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 8.8 5.5 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 9.8 12.3 7.7 3.2 1.0 0.3
2 6.9 8.7 5.4 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.2 4.1 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.406
λ Away (xG) 1.254
Total xG 2.660
League avg home goals 1.399
League avg away goals 1.176
Arka Gdynia attack strength 1.062
Arka Gdynia defence strength 1.146
Widzew Łódź attack strength 0.931
Widzew Łódź defence strength 0.946
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 24 / 58