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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

13:45

Venue

Stadion Miejski w Gdyni

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Korona Kielce Win

35%

Arka Gdynia

2.83

29%

Draw

3.47

36%

Korona Kielce

2.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.0%

Away win

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Arka Gdynia xG

Total xG

2.24

1.13

Korona Kielce xG

35%
29%
36%
Arka GdyniaDrawKorona Kielce

2.83

35%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

2.79

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.20

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

32%

Arka Gdynia

3.08

33%

Korona Kielce

3.05

Win to Nil

11%

Arka Gdynia

8.73

12%

Korona Kielce

8.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.6 12.0 6.7 2.5 0.7 0.2
1 11.9 13.4 7.5 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 6.6 7.4 4.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 2.5 2.8 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.115
λ Away (xG) 1.126
Total xG 2.241
League avg home goals 1.540
League avg away goals 1.173
Arka Gdynia attack strength 0.813
Arka Gdynia defence strength 0.970
Korona Kielce attack strength 0.990
Korona Kielce defence strength 0.890
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 8 / 42