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Over 3.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 3.5 probability β€” Monday 25 January 2027

Over 3.5 goals requires at least 4 goals β€” a higher-risk, higher-reward market. Our prediction model sums all scorelines with 4 or more total goals to calculate this probability. Fixtures here are the most attacking matchups of the day, ideal for both teams to score accumulators and big-game scoring markets.

Three fixtures clear the bar on Monday 25 January 2027. The strongest reading belongs to Jong Ajax vs FC Volendam at 80% in the Eerste Divisie.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 3, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
: 19:00
FC Volendam
Win 52%
Draw 17%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 91% BTTS Yes 87%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
: 19:00
Jong PSV U21
Win 38%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
: 19:00
De Graafschap
Win 37%
Draw 24%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 3 fixtures by over 3.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 25%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 3.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 3.5 Goals market mean?

Over 3.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 4 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 3.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 3.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 4 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 3.5 Goals on Monday 25 January 2027?

three fixtures met the criteria, led by Jong Ajax vs FC Volendam at 80% over 3.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest over 3.5 probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 3.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.