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Over 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 2.5 probability β€” Thursday 20 May 2027

Over 2.5 goals is the most widely-backed goals market β€” it needs at least 3 goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 3 total goals, sitting between the safer over 1.5 and higher-risk over 3.5 markets. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

Six matches clear our threshold on Thursday 20 May 2027. Al-Fateh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC tops the list at 75% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 57%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Pro League supplies six of the top 6, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
– : – 18:00
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Win 3%
Draw 10%
Win 87%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS No 55% Al-Qadisiyah FC Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
– : – 18:00
Al-Nassr
Win 36%
Draw 25%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 73%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
– : – 18:00
Al Kholood
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah
– : – 18:00
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 66%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
– : – 18:00
Al-Faisaly FC
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
– : – 18:00
Al Diriyah
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 6 fixtures by over 2.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 2.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 2.5 Goals market mean?

Over 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 3 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 2.5 Goals on Thursday 20 May 2027?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Fateh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC at 75% over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.