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Over 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 2.5 probability β€” Thursday 26 November 2026

Over 2.5 goals is the most widely-backed goals market β€” it needs at least 3 goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 3 total goals, sitting between the safer over 1.5 and higher-risk over 3.5 markets. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists five fixtures on Thursday 26 November 2026. Al Kholood vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC sits top on 70% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 55%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies five of the top 5, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Kholood
: 17:00
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 12%
Draw 21%
Win 68%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 63%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Qadisiyah FC
: 17:00
Al-Fateh
Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 63%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
NEOM
: 17:00
Al Taawon
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
: 17:00
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
: 17:00
Al-Hazm
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 5 fixtures by over 2.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 2.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 2.5 Goals market mean?

Over 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 3 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 2.5 Goals on Thursday 26 November 2026?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Kholood vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 70% over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.