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Over 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 2.5 probability β€” Sunday 21 June 2026

Over 2.5 goals is the most widely-backed goals market β€” it needs at least 3 goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 3 total goals, sitting between the safer over 1.5 and higher-risk over 3.5 markets. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

Two matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 21 June 2026. The strongest reading belongs to IK brage vs IFK Varnamo at 78% in the Superettan.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan Β· Sweden
IK brage
5 : 1 FT
IFK Varnamo
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 18%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#2 Superettan Β· Sweden
Osters IF
1 : 3 FT
Falkenbergs FF
Win 35%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 2 fixtures by over 2.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 2.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 2.5 Goals market mean?

Over 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 3 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 2.5 Goals on Sunday 21 June 2026?

two fixtures met the criteria, led by IK brage vs IFK Varnamo at 78% over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.