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Over 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 2.5 probability β€” Friday 31 January 2025

Over 2.5 goals is the most widely-backed goals market β€” it needs at least 3 goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 3 total goals, sitting between the safer over 1.5 and higher-risk over 3.5 markets. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 16 fixtures on Friday 31 January 2025. Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Okhdood sits top on 78% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 58%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the over 2.5 goals market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
4 : 0 FT
Al Okhdood
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 15%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 65%
#2 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Elversberg
2 : 2 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 35%
Draw 22%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 76%
#3 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Nasr
2 : 1 FT
Al Urooba
βœ“ Win 85%
Draw 11%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 73%
#4 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
1 : 0 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 73%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Werder Bremen
1 : 0 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 28%
Draw 22%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 66%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France
Montpellier
0 : 2 FT
Lens
Win 24%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 50%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
1 : 1 FT
De Graafschap
Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
2 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Eyüpspor
1 : 0 FT
Sivasspor
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 62%
#10 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lech Poznan
4 : 1 FT
Widzew Łódź
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
3 : 0 FT
FC Volendam
Win 36%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
#12 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 1 FT
Heracles
Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
1 : 0 FT
Dibba Al Hisn
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 59%
#14 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
3 : 1 FT
Al Shabab
Win 20%
Draw 22%
Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira
0 : 1 FT
Baniyas SC
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy
Parma
1 : 3 FT
Lecce
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 16 fixtures by over 2.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 2.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 2.5 Goals market mean?

Over 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 3 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 2.5 Goals on Friday 31 January 2025?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Okhdood at 78% over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.