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Over 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 2.5 probability β€” Tuesday 6 June 2023

Over 2.5 goals is the most widely-backed goals market β€” it needs at least 3 goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 3 total goals, sitting between the safer over 1.5 and higher-risk over 3.5 markets. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists seven fixtures on Tuesday 6 June 2023. Sivasspor vs Kayserispor led the list at 70% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 59%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Süper Lig supplies three of the top 7, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the over 2.5 goals market — 71%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Sivasspor
1 : 1 FT
Kayserispor
Win 57%
Draw 20%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
2 : 0 FT
Emmen
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
3 : 1 FT
Trabzonspor
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#4 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Suwon City FC
1 : 3 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 22%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#5 Super League Β· Switzerland
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
4 : 2 FT
FC Sion
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#6 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Arminia Bielefeld
1 : 2 FT
SV Wehen
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
3 : 0 FT
Kasımpaşa
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 7 fixtures by over 2.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 2.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 2.5 Goals market mean?

Over 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 3 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 2.5 Goals on Tuesday 6 June 2023?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Sivasspor vs Kayserispor at 70% over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.