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Over 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 2.5 probability β€” Sunday 25 April 2021

Over 2.5 goals is the most widely-backed goals market β€” it needs at least 3 goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 3 total goals, sitting between the safer over 1.5 and higher-risk over 3.5 markets. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

Seven matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 25 April 2021. Kristiansund BK vs Stromsgodset led the list at 66% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 66% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies six of the top 7, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Kristiansund BK
– : – CANC
Stromsgodset
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 67%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Haugesund
– : – CANC
ODD Ballklubb
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
– : – CANC
Molde
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Valerenga
– : – CANC
Bodo/Glimt
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
#5 Primera División Β· Chile
Santiago Wanderers
1 : 2 FT
Nublense
Win 33%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Mjondalen
– : – CANC
Viking
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Tromso
– : – CANC
Sandefjord
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 7 fixtures by over 2.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 2.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 2.5 Goals market mean?

Over 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 3 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 2.5 Goals on Sunday 25 April 2021?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Kristiansund BK vs Stromsgodset at 66% over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.