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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Tuesday 20 April 2027

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Eight matches clear our threshold on Tuesday 20 April 2027. Wolves vs West Ham tops the list at 92% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 74%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Championship supplies eight of the top 8, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Wolves
: 18:45
West Ham
Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 74%
#2 Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
: 18:45
Burnley
Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Championship Β· England
Derby
: 18:45
Portsmouth
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Championship Β· England
Norwich
: 18:45
Stoke City
Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Championship Β· England
Wrexham
: 18:45
Millwall
Win 30%
Draw 31%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 62%
#6 Championship Β· England
Southampton
: 18:45
Birmingham
Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Championship Β· England
Bolton
: 18:45
Sheffield Utd
Win 21%
Draw 30%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Championship Β· England
Charlton
: 18:45
West Brom
Win 41%
Draw 34%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 8 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Tuesday 20 April 2027?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Wolves vs West Ham at 92% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.