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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Tuesday 26 January 2027

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Seven fixtures clear the bar on Tuesday 26 January 2027. The strongest reading belongs to Southampton vs West Brom at 87% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 74%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Championship supplies seven of the top 7, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Southampton
: 19:45
West Brom
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 62%
#2 Championship Β· England
Burnley
: 19:45
QPR
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
#3 Championship Β· England
Norwich
: 19:45
Derby
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Championship Β· England
Sheffield Utd
: 19:45
Preston
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Championship Β· England
Stoke City
: 19:45
Blackburn
Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 17%
#6 Championship Β· England
Bolton
: 19:45
Charlton
Win 34%
Draw 33%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Championship Β· England
Millwall
: 19:45
Birmingham
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 7 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Tuesday 26 January 2027?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Southampton vs West Brom at 87% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.