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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Tuesday 3 November 2026

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Nine fixtures clear the bar on Tuesday 3 November 2026. The strongest reading belongs to QPR vs Burnley at 84% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 72%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Championship supplies nine of the top 9, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
QPR
: 19:45
Burnley
Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%
#2 Championship Β· England
Birmingham
: 20:00
Millwall
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Championship Β· England
West Brom
: 20:00
Southampton
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Championship Β· England
Preston
: 19:45
Sheffield Utd
Win 21%
Draw 31%
Win 48%
BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Championship Β· England
Portsmouth
: 19:45
Swansea
Win 17%
Draw 30%
Win 53%
BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Championship Β· England
Blackburn
: 19:45
Stoke City
Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Championship Β· England
Derby
: 19:45
Norwich
Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Championship Β· England
Charlton
: 19:45
Bolton
Win 48%
Draw 33%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 56%
#9 Championship Β· England
Watford
: 19:45
Lincoln
Win 40%
Draw 35%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 58%

Showing top 9 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Tuesday 3 November 2026?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by QPR vs Burnley at 84% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.