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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Tuesday 27 October 2026

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Eleven matches clear our threshold on Tuesday 27 October 2026. Benevento vs Catanzaro tops the list at 81% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 81% down to 70%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie B supplies eight of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B Β· Italy
Benevento
: 14:00
Catanzaro
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy
Torino
: 19:45
Como
Win 23%
Draw 22%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Serie B Β· Italy
Vicenza Virtus
: 14:00
Modena
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy
Cesena
: 14:00
Empoli
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy
Mantova
: 14:00
Cremonese
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy
Carrarese
: 14:00
Arezzo
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy
Pisa
: 14:00
Palermo
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
#8 Serie B Β· Italy
Virtus Entella
: 14:00
Avellino
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 53%
#9 Superettan Β· Sweden
Landskrona BoIS
: 18:00
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 55%
#10 Serie B Β· Italy
Juve Stabia
: 14:00
Hellas Verona
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 56%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma
: 19:45
Cagliari
Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%

Showing top 11 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Tuesday 27 October 2026?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Benevento vs Catanzaro at 81% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.