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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 12 June 2026

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists four fixtures on Friday 12 June 2026. Galway United vs Dundalk sits top on 91% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 71%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier Division supplies four of the top 4, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the four fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the over 1.5 goals market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Galway United
0 : 1 FT
Dundalk
Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 74%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
2 : 0 FT
Drogheda United
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
2 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 54%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
4 : 1 FT
Bohemians
Win 29%
Draw 31%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 4 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 12 June 2026?

four fixtures met the criteria, led by Galway United vs Dundalk at 91% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.