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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Wednesday 21 May 2025

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists nine fixtures on Wednesday 21 May 2025. Al Wehda Club vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC led the list at 93% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 71%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Pro League supplies three of the top 9, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the over 1.5 goals market — 89%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Wehda Club
1 : 1 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 22%
Draw 18%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#2 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Ilves
3 : 0 FT
KuPS
Win 37%
Draw 21%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 72%
#3 Superettan Β· Sweden
Orgryte IS
4 : 0 FT
Sandviken
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
2 : 0 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 64%
#5 Superettan Β· Sweden
Utsikten
4 : 4 FT
Orebro SK
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy
Catanzaro
0 : 2 FT
Spezia
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
2 : 1 FT
Willem II
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 54%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Kholood
2 : 0 FT
Al-Fayha
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
#9 Superettan Β· Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
1 : 0 FT
Ostersunds FK
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 9 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Wednesday 21 May 2025?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Wehda Club vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 93% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.