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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 3 December 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Eight matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 3 December 2022. RWDM vs Club Brugge II led the list at 87% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 70%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League One supplies three of the top 8, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the over 1.5 goals market — 88%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
RWDM
0 : 2 FT
Club Brugge II
Win 77%
Draw 14%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 69%
#2 League One Β· England
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 1 FT
Burton Albion
Win 29%
Draw 22%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Excelsior Virton
0 : 1 FT
Lommel United
Win 28%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 47%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy
Venezia
2 : 1 FT
Ternana
Win 22%
Draw 25%
Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#5 League One Β· England
Accrington ST
1 : 1 FT
Oxford United
Win 26%
Draw 23%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#6 League Two Β· England
Crawley Town
2 : 0 FT
Swindon Town
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
BTTS Yes 54%
#7 League Two Β· England
Mansfield Town
2 : 1 FT
Colchester
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
#8 League One Β· England
Forest Green
2 : 1 FT
Cambridge United
Win 23%
Draw 26%
Win 51%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 8 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 3 December 2022?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by RWDM vs Club Brugge II at 87% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.