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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Monday 27 December 2021

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists six fixtures on Monday 27 December 2021. KV Mechelen vs Seraing United led the list at 89% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 72%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Jupiler Pro League supplies four of the top 6, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the over 1.5 goals market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KV Mechelen
2 : 0 FT
Seraing United
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 19%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 67%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
3 : 1 FT
Al Taawon
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Premier League Β· England
Newcastle
1 : 1 FT
Manchester United
Win 24%
Draw 23%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
St. Truiden
2 : 0 FT
AS Eupen
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Charleroi
0 : 3 FT
OH Leuven
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Beerschot VA
0 : 7 FT
Anderlecht
Win 16%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 61%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Showing top 6 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Monday 27 December 2021?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by KV Mechelen vs Seraing United at 89% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.