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One-Sided Predictions

Biggest mismatches ranked by dominant win probability β€” Saturday 26 December 2026

These are the day's biggest mismatches β€” fixtures where the prediction model gives one team a 60%+ win probability. Useful for finding confident accumulator legs, handicap markets, and Asian lines. The favourite can be the home or away side β€” the model ranks purely on statistical dominance, not venue.

The model shortlists five fixtures on Saturday 26 December 2026. Luton vs Bromley sits top on 72% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 72% down to 62%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England
Luton
: 15:00
Bromley
Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 59%
#2 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
RAAL La Louvière
: 19:45
SK Beveren
Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 53%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Kortrijk
: 15:00
Cercle Brugge
Win 15%
Draw 20%
Win 64%
Over 2.5 56%
#4 League Two Β· England
Oldham
: 15:00
York
Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
BTTS No 53%
#5 League Two Β· England
Cheltenham
: 15:00
Port Vale
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 5 fixtures where one team has 60%+ win probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

One-Sided β€” common questions

What does the One-Sided market mean?

One-Sided settles on whether a match has a clear statistical favourite. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate one-sided probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The favourite's win probability shown here is the stronger of the two win probabilities, regardless of which side is at home. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for One-Sided on Saturday 26 December 2026?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Luton vs Bromley at 72% favourite's win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 60% or higher win probability for one side, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these one-sided predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.