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One-Sided Predictions

Biggest mismatches ranked by dominant win probability β€” Saturday 1 June 2024

These are the day's biggest mismatches β€” fixtures where the prediction model gives one team a 60%+ win probability. Useful for finding confident accumulator legs, handicap markets, and Asian lines. The favourite can be the home or away side β€” the model ranks purely on statistical dominance, not venue.

Four matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 1 June 2024. IF Brommapojkarna vs Malmo FF led the list at 72% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 72% down to 60%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Of the four fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the one-sided market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Brommapojkarna
2 : 2 FT
Malmo FF
Win 12%
Draw 16%
Win 72%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#2 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
1 : 0 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fluminense
1 : 1 FT
Juventude
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Primera División Β· Chile
Union Espanola
4 : 3 FT
Deportes Iquique
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 17%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 77%

Showing top 4 fixtures where one team has 60%+ win probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

One-Sided β€” common questions

What does the One-Sided market mean?

One-Sided settles on whether a match has a clear statistical favourite. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate one-sided probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The favourite's win probability shown here is the stronger of the two win probabilities, regardless of which side is at home. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for One-Sided on Saturday 1 June 2024?

four fixtures met the criteria, led by IF Brommapojkarna vs Malmo FF at 72% favourite's win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 60% or higher win probability for one side, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these one-sided predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.