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One-Sided Predictions

Biggest mismatches ranked by dominant win probability β€” Tuesday 25 October 2022

These are the day's biggest mismatches β€” fixtures where the prediction model gives one team a 60%+ win probability. Useful for finding confident accumulator legs, handicap markets, and Asian lines. The favourite can be the home or away side β€” the model ranks purely on statistical dominance, not venue.

Five matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 25 October 2022. Al Wahda FC vs Al-Dhafra led the list at 78% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 60%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the one-sided market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
4 : 2 FT
Al-Dhafra
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 67%
#2 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Bataeh
0 : 1 FT
Sharjah FC
Win 14%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 70%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 61%
#3 Super League Β· China
Wuhan Three Towns
4 : 0 FT
Dalian Aerbin
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 17%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 72%
#4 League One Β· England
Peterborough
3 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 58%
#5 League Two Β· England
Leyton Orient
2 : 0 FT
Gillingham
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 68% ✓ Leyton Orient Clean Sheet 59%

Showing top 5 fixtures where one team has 60%+ win probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

One-Sided β€” common questions

What does the One-Sided market mean?

One-Sided settles on whether a match has a clear statistical favourite. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate one-sided probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The favourite's win probability shown here is the stronger of the two win probabilities, regardless of which side is at home. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for One-Sided on Tuesday 25 October 2022?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Wahda FC vs Al-Dhafra at 78% favourite's win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 60% or higher win probability for one side, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these one-sided predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.