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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Viking cruise to a comfortable 3-1 victory over Kristiansund BK.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Viking beat Kristiansund BK 3-1 at Lyse Arena, Regular Season - 16, in the Eliteserien. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Viking 2.11 xG and Kristiansund BK 1.10 xG, a combined 3.21. The scoreboard read 3-1 for 4 actual goals. Viking beat their projection by 0.9 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Viking attack 1.29 / defence 1.01 against Kristiansund BK attack 0.96 / defence 1.01, drawn from 32/32 games (Blended).

On the result, the model split it Viking 61% | Draw 20% | Kristiansund BK 19%, with Viking to win its most likely call at 61%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 62%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 83% and landed. Over 3.5 was 40% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 58% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 55% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Viking 62%, Kristiansund BK 47%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 58%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Viking's trading profile (32 games, 16 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 66% of their matches — today it did.

Kristiansund BK's trading profile (32 games, 16 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Viking arrived the stronger side — 1.88 PPG against 1.16. Form held, and they took the win. Viking (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 2.19 average — above their attacking norm. Kristiansund BK (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.38 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.

💡 Key Insights