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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Tromso cruise to a comfortable 3-1 victory over Bryne.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Tromso beat Bryne 3-1 at Romssa Arena, Regular Season - 14, in the Eliteserien. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Tromso 1.53 xG and Bryne 0.97 xG, a combined 2.50. The scoreboard read 3-1 for 4 actual goals. Tromso beat their projection by 1.5 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Tromso attack 0.94 / defence 0.86 against Bryne attack 0.88 / defence 1.06, drawn from 43/13 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Tromso 51% | Draw 26% | Bryne 24%, with Tromso to win its most likely call at 51%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 46%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 71% and landed. Over 3.5 was 24% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 49% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 58% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Tromso 62%, Bryne 54%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 62%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Tromso's trading profile (13 games, 6 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 31% of the time, and conceded here.

Bryne's trading profile (13 games, 6 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Tromso arrived the stronger side — 2.15 PPG against 1.38. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Tromso (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.33 average — above their attacking norm. Bryne (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.67 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights