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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eliteserien · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 28 Sep 2025

18:15

Venue

Aker Stadion

Competition

Eliteserien

Norway

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Molde Win

58%

Molde

1.72

21%

Draw

4.78

21%

Valerenga

4.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.1%

Draw

2 – 0

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.13

Molde xG

Total xG

3.35

1.22

Valerenga xG

58%
21%
21%
MoldeDrawValerenga

1.72

58%

Home win

4.78

21%

Draw

4.76

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.65

Clean Sheet

30%

Molde

3.38

12%

Valerenga

8.44

Win to Nil

17%

Molde

5.82

2%

Valerenga

40.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 4.3 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 7.5 9.1 5.5 2.3 0.7 0.2
2 8.0 9.7 5.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 5.7 6.9 4.2 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 3.0 3.7 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.3 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.133
λ Away (xG) 1.219
Total xG 3.352
League avg home goals 1.686
League avg away goals 1.327
Molde attack strength 0.996
Molde defence strength 0.904
Valerenga attack strength 1.017
Valerenga defence strength 1.270
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 22