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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eliteserien · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sun 30 Mar 2025

16:00

Venue

Aker Stadion

Competition

Eliteserien

Norway

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Molde Win

50%

Molde

2.02

22%

Draw

4.44

28%

Sarpsborg 08 FF

3.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

7.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.88

Molde xG

Total xG

3.24

1.36

Sarpsborg 08 FF xG

50%
22%
28%
MoldeDrawSarpsborg 08 FF

2.02

50%

Home win

4.44

22%

Draw

3.58

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.70

Clean Sheet

26%

Molde

3.91

15%

Sarpsborg 08 FF

6.52

Win to Nil

13%

Molde

7.89

4%

Sarpsborg 08 FF

23.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 5.3 3.6 1.7 0.6 0.2
1 7.4 10.0 6.8 3.1 1.1 0.3
2 6.9 9.4 6.4 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 4.3 5.9 4.0 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 2.0 2.8 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.875
λ Away (xG) 1.363
Total xG 3.238
League avg home goals 1.654
League avg away goals 1.223
Molde attack strength 1.144
Molde defence strength 1.058
Sarpsborg 08 FF attack strength 1.053
Sarpsborg 08 FF defence strength 0.991
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 30