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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Molde cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Bryne.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Molde beat Bryne 2-0 at Aker Stadion, Regular Season - 16, in the Eliteserien. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Molde 2.03 xG and Bryne 1.21 xG, a combined 3.24. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Bryne landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Molde attack 1.05 / defence 1.04 against Bryne attack 0.84 / defence 1.18, drawn from 45/15 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Molde 56% | Draw 22% | Bryne 22%, with Molde to win its most likely call at 56%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 63%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 83% and landed. Over 3.5 was 41% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 61% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 63% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Molde 67%, Bryne 60%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 57%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Molde's trading profile (15 games, 7 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 47% of their matches — today it did not.

Bryne's trading profile (15 games, 7 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 67% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Molde 1.13 PPG, Bryne 1.20 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Molde win broke the near-deadlock. Molde (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.57 average — tighter than their form line. Bryne (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.14 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights