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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant KFUM Oslo run riot with a 0-5 hammering of Kristiansund BK.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

KFUM Oslo beat Kristiansund BK 0-5 at Kristiansund Stadion, Regular Season - 15, in the Eliteserien. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Kristiansund BK 1.22 xG and KFUM Oslo 1.05 xG, a combined 2.27. The scoreboard read 0-5 for 5 actual goals. Kristiansund BK fell 1.2 short of their projected output. KFUM Oslo outscored their 1.05 projection by 4.0. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Kristiansund BK attack 0.84 / defence 0.84 against KFUM Oslo attack 0.98 / defence 0.90, drawn from 46/44 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Kristiansund BK 40% | Draw 29% | KFUM Oslo 31%, with Kristiansund BK to win its most likely call at 40%. The actual KFUM Oslo win had been the model's second-ranked read at 31%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 40%. The game delivered 5, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 66% and landed. Over 3.5 was 19% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 46% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 48% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Kristiansund BK 50%, KFUM Oslo 46%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 53%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Kristiansund BK's trading profile (44 games, 21 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 41% of games, a blank that repeated today.

KFUM Oslo's trading profile (44 games, 21 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Kristiansund BK 1.11 PPG, KFUM Oslo 1.25 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the KFUM Oslo win broke the near-deadlock. Kristiansund BK (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.19 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 5 against a 1.38 concession average — a leakier day than usual. KFUM Oslo (home/away splits) scored 5 against a 1.29 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.19 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights