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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Kristiansund BK cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Haugesund.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Kristiansund BK beat Haugesund 2-0 at Kristiansund Stadion, Regular Season - 22, in the Eliteserien. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Kristiansund BK 1.91 xG and Haugesund 1.15 xG, a combined 3.06. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Haugesund landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Kristiansund BK attack 0.87 / defence 1.12 against Haugesund attack 0.72 / defence 1.33, drawn from 51/51 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Kristiansund BK 54% | Draw 24% | Haugesund 21%, with Kristiansund BK to win its most likely call at 54%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 59%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 82% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 59% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 53% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Kristiansund BK 53%, Haugesund 53%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 47%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Kristiansund BK's trading profile (51 games, 25 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did not.

Haugesund's trading profile (51 games, 25 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 39% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 47% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Kristiansund BK 1.14 PPG, Haugesund 0.78 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Kristiansund BK win broke the near-deadlock. Kristiansund BK (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.20 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.56 average — tighter than their form line. Haugesund (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.88 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights