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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Viking run riot with a 1-4 hammering of Haugesund.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Viking beat Haugesund 1-4 at Haugesund Stadion, Regular Season - 6, in the Eliteserien. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Haugesund 1.28 xG and Viking 2.02 xG, a combined 3.30. The scoreboard read 1-4 for 5 actual goals. Viking outscored their 2.02 projection by 2.0. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Haugesund attack 0.70 / defence 1.13 against Viking attack 1.31 / defence 1.17, drawn from 36/37 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Haugesund 22% | Draw 24% | Viking 53%, with Viking to win its most likely call at 53%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 64%. The game delivered 5, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 86% and landed. Over 3.5 was 42% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 64% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 53% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Haugesund 47%, Viking 60%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 55%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Haugesund's trading profile (60 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 45% of their matches — today it did.

Viking's trading profile (60 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 65% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Viking arrived the stronger side — 1.92 PPG against 1.12. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Haugesund (home/away splits) shipped 4 against a 1.13 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Viking (home/away splits) scored 4 against a 1.63 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights