🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Dominant Aalesund run riot with a 0-4 hammering of Bryne.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Aalesund beat Bryne 0-4 at Bryne Stadion, Final, in the Eliteserien. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Bryne 1.53 xG and Aalesund 1.38 xG, a combined 2.91. The scoreboard read 0-4 for 4 actual goals. Bryne fell 1.5 short of their projected output. Aalesund outscored their 1.38 projection by 2.6. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Bryne attack 0.71 / defence 1.19 against Aalesund attack 0.85 / defence 1.15, drawn from 30/0 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Bryne 41% | Draw 25% | Aalesund 34%, with Bryne to win its most likely call at 41%. The actual Aalesund win had been the model's second-ranked read at 34%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 56%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 79% and landed. Over 3.5 was 33% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 59% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights