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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Utrecht Win
50%
1.99
21%
4.73
29%
3.48
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
8.9%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
8.6%
Draw
2 – 2
6.9%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.08
Utrecht xG
Total xG
3.62
1.54
NEC Nijmegen xG
UtrechtDrawNEC Nijmegen
1.99
50%
Home win
4.73
21%
Draw
3.48
29%
Away win
Goals Markets
88%
Over 1.5
1.14
12%
Under 1.5
8.33
70%
Over 2.5
1.43
30%
Under 2.5
3.33
49%
Over 3.5
2.04
51%
Under 3.5
1.96
30%
Over 4.5
3.33
70%
Under 4.5
1.43
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
69%
BTTS Yes
1.45
31%
BTTS No
3.21
Clean Sheet
21%
4.68
12%
8.01
Win to Nil
11%
9.33
4%
27.92
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.7 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 5.5 | 8.6 | 6.6 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.8 | 8.9 | 6.9 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 4.0 | 6.2 | 4.8 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.081
λ Away (xG)
1.544
Total xG
3.625
League avg home goals
1.774
League avg away goals
1.535
Utrecht attack strength
1.115
Utrecht defence strength
0.920
NEC Nijmegen attack strength
1.094
NEC Nijmegen defence strength
1.053
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
44 / 44