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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Utrecht Win
41%
2.46
28%
3.56
31%
3.20
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.9%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
11.6%
Home win
0 – 1
9.9%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.31
Utrecht xG
Total xG
2.42
1.11
NEC Nijmegen xG
UtrechtDrawNEC Nijmegen
2.46
41%
Home win
3.56
28%
Draw
3.20
31%
Away win
Goals Markets
70%
Over 1.5
1.43
30%
Under 1.5
3.33
44%
Over 2.5
2.27
56%
Under 2.5
1.79
23%
Over 3.5
4.35
77%
Under 3.5
1.30
10%
Over 4.5
10.00
90%
Under 4.5
1.11
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
49%
BTTS Yes
2.02
51%
BTTS No
1.98
Clean Sheet
33%
3.05
27%
3.70
Win to Nil
13%
7.50
8%
11.85
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.9 | 9.9 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.6 | 12.9 | 7.2 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.6 | 8.5 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.309
λ Away (xG)
1.114
Total xG
2.423
League avg home goals
1.652
League avg away goals
1.268
Utrecht attack strength
0.821
Utrecht defence strength
1.173
NEC Nijmegen attack strength
0.749
NEC Nijmegen defence strength
0.965
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
59 / 59