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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sun 10 Aug 2025

15:45

Venue

Stadion Galgenwaard

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Utrecht Win

54%

Utrecht

1.86

26%

Draw

3.86

20%

Heracles

4.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.84

Utrecht xG

Total xG

2.90

1.06

Heracles xG

54%
26%
20%
UtrechtDrawHeracles

1.86

54%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

4.95

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.77

43%

BTTS No

2.30

Clean Sheet

35%

Utrecht

2.90

16%

Heracles

6.27

Win to Nil

19%

Utrecht

5.38

3%

Heracles

31.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 5.9 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 10.1 10.7 5.7 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.3 9.9 5.2 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 5.7 6.0 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.6 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.836
λ Away (xG) 1.064
Total xG 2.900
League avg home goals 1.788
League avg away goals 1.179
Utrecht attack strength 0.983
Utrecht defence strength 0.968
Heracles attack strength 0.933
Heracles defence strength 1.044
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34