Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 30 Mar 2025

11:15

Venue

Stadion Galgenwaard

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Utrecht Win

41%

Utrecht

2.43

26%

Draw

3.84

33%

Heerenveen

3.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Utrecht xG

Total xG

2.73

1.27

Heerenveen xG

41%
26%
33%
UtrechtDrawHeerenveen

2.43

41%

Home win

3.84

26%

Draw

3.05

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.80

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

28%

Utrecht

3.58

23%

Heerenveen

4.28

Win to Nil

12%

Utrecht

8.69

8%

Heerenveen

13.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 8.3 5.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 9.5 12.1 7.7 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.9 8.8 5.6 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 3.4 4.3 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.2 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.455
λ Away (xG) 1.274
Total xG 2.729
League avg home goals 1.583
League avg away goals 1.339
Utrecht attack strength 0.768
Utrecht defence strength 1.114
Heerenveen attack strength 0.854
Heerenveen defence strength 1.197
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60