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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 13 Apr 2025

11:15

Venue

Stadion Galgenwaard

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Utrecht Win

49%

Utrecht

2.04

27%

Draw

3.74

24%

Groningen

4.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

Utrecht xG

Total xG

2.61

1.04

Groningen xG

49%
27%
24%
UtrechtDrawGroningen

2.04

49%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

4.13

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

35%

Utrecht

2.82

21%

Groningen

4.83

Win to Nil

17%

Utrecht

5.76

5%

Groningen

19.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 7.6 3.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 11.5 12.0 6.2 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 9.1 9.4 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 4.8 5.0 2.6 0.9 0.2
4 1.9 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.575
λ Away (xG) 1.038
Total xG 2.613
League avg home goals 1.604
League avg away goals 1.319
Utrecht attack strength 0.795
Utrecht defence strength 1.029
Groningen attack strength 0.765
Groningen defence strength 1.234
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 28