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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

13:30

Venue

Stadion Galgenwaard

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Utrecht Win

56%

Utrecht

1.79

29%

Draw

3.50

16%

Fortuna Sittard

6.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

2 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.88

Utrecht xG

Total xG

2.84

0.96

Fortuna Sittard xG

56%
29%
16%
UtrechtDrawFortuna Sittard

1.79

56%

Home win

3.50

29%

Draw

6.37

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.80

45%

BTTS No

2.25

Clean Sheet

38%

Utrecht

2.61

15%

Fortuna Sittard

6.55

Win to Nil

21%

Utrecht

4.69

2%

Fortuna Sittard

41.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 5.6 2.7 0.9 0.2
1 11.0 10.5 5.1 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.3 9.9 4.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 6.5 6.2 3.0 1.0 0.2
4 3.0 2.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
5 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.880
λ Away (xG) 0.961
Total xG 2.841
League avg home goals 1.714
League avg away goals 1.289
Utrecht attack strength 1.010
Utrecht defence strength 0.757
Fortuna Sittard attack strength 0.985
Fortuna Sittard defence strength 1.085
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67