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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 22 Dec 2024

13:30

Venue

Stadion Galgenwaard

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Utrecht Win

50%

Utrecht

2.02

23%

Draw

4.42

28%

Fortuna Sittard

3.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.86

Utrecht xG

Total xG

3.20

1.34

Fortuna Sittard xG

50%
23%
28%
UtrechtDrawFortuna Sittard

2.02

50%

Home win

4.42

23%

Draw

3.60

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.60

38%

BTTS No

2.65

Clean Sheet

26%

Utrecht

3.82

16%

Fortuna Sittard

6.40

Win to Nil

13%

Utrecht

7.71

4%

Fortuna Sittard

23.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 5.5 3.7 1.6 0.6 0.1
1 7.6 10.2 6.8 3.0 1.0 0.3
2 7.0 9.4 6.3 2.8 0.9 0.3
3 4.4 5.8 3.9 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 2.0 2.7 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.856
λ Away (xG) 1.341
Total xG 3.197
League avg home goals 1.697
League avg away goals 1.269
Utrecht attack strength 1.072
Utrecht defence strength 1.286
Fortuna Sittard attack strength 0.822
Fortuna Sittard defence strength 1.020
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50